Corona Virus: 3 Million Lives Saved Due To Lockdown in Europe
Tuesday, June 9, 2020
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Researchers say large-scale lockdowns in Europe have stopped the spread of the corona virus and saved more than 3 million lives.
According to foreign news agency Reuters, scientists at Imperial College London in a modeling study of the effects of lockdown in 11 countries said that most of the drastic measures taken in March were quite effective and that the virus in early May. Helped to reduce the spread rate of
Reproduction rate, or RV value, represents the average number of people who pass the disease from one infected person to another, and if this value is more than one, the disease can progress very rapidly.
Researchers at Imperial College estimated that 12 million to 15 million people in Austria, Belgium, the United Kingdom, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden and Switzerland were infected with the corona virus in 11 countries in early May. shall be.
The researchers said that if the lockdown measures were not taken in their model, the chances of death from the epidemic, if compared to the number of deaths, would be about 3.1 million fewer deaths from the virus.
"It is important to assess the effectiveness of this intervention, especially its economic and social implications, and what steps are needed to maintain control," he said.
In another study published in the journal Nature, along with a study by Imperial College, US scientists said that China, South Korea, Italy, Iran, France and the United States had implemented lockdown policies to prevent the spread of the disease. Due to this, about 530 million cases of Corona were prevented or delayed.
Restricting their analysis to these six countries, U.S. researchers compared the spread of the epidemic before and after the implementation of more than 1,700 local, regional and national policies to reduce or prevent the spread of corona.
The researchers concluded that without the implementation of infectious disease control policies, the spread rate in Iran would have averaged 68 percent per day, compared to an average of 38 percent per day in the other five countries.
Using econometric modeling, which is usually used to review economic policies, the researchers found that in most cases lockdown slowed down the spread of the virus, while also showing excellent results on health.
It should be noted that after China, Europe became the epicenter of the corona virus, where Italy, Spain, Britain, France and Germany were severely affected by the epidemic.
However, the number of daily cases of the virus in these countries is now declining, after which the lockdown is also gradually eased and life has begun to return to normal.
The number of people infected with the corona virus worldwide has risen to 7,081,000, while more than 450,000 have died.
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